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Contributing editor Steven Horwitz is the Charles A. Dana Professor of Economics at St. Lawrence University and the author of Microfoundations and Macroeconomics: An Austrian Perspective, now in paperback. ... See All Posts by This Author

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The Calling | Steven Horwitz

The Three Hats of the Economist

The many dimensions of a bankrupt local store.

I live in a small, rural town in the St. Lawrence valley of New York state.  For the last three weeks and a few more to come, we have had no full-service grocery store.  The company that had served the town for years had been in and out of bankruptcy and finally gave up the ghost.  The local store was bought by another chain, which is remodeling and restocking it before reopening before Memorial Day.

Observing this process has made me aware of the three different “hats” an economist wears.  My “economist hat” enables me to see things through the lens of economic theory and history.  My “consumer hat” leads me to think about the effects on me and my family. And, finally, my “community member hat” focuses my attention on other effects of this change.

What’s most interesting to me is that the insights provided by these “hats” do not line up precisely.

With my economist hat on, I understand all the ways this change and the hassles it has brought are good things.  The old owners were clearly not doing a good job husbanding the resources they possessed, as their decade-long battle with bankruptcy indicates.  The new owners were able to pick up a handful of their stores in my region from a third firm that had bought all the failing firm’s stores at the bankruptcy sale.  This resource reallocation appears to have “worked”: The failing firm got rid of the assets and the other two firms got the stores they wanted.  The buildings and whatever contents that were left and deemed usable have shifted to owners who will make better use of them.

When I put my consumer hat on I am also pleased by this change.  The new owners have had a store in a neighboring town for a long time — a nice well-stocked grocery with terrific service.  Its prices are pretty good too.  The old store in my town was okay, but during it bankruptcy it always seemed short-staffed and its offerings were not as diverse as they might have been.  Plus, it was notably more expensive than the competition.

One possible reason for those problems is that the old store was unionized; the new owners are not.  Putting on my economist hat tells me that the new owners’ lower labor costs are most likely one reason for their lower prices.

With my consumer hat on, I like this result a lot.

Real Community Costs

But those aren’t my only hats.  As a member of the community I find the change has some real costs.  We have lived here over 20 years, and we know many of the old store’s employees very well.  They watched our kids grow up, and our kids were friends and schoolmates with many of their kids.  It’s nice to be recognized by name at the deli counter!

Unfortunately for these folks, the nonunionized new owners are under no obligation to rehire them.  The owners have asked all the old employees to apply to the new store, but last I heard, only seven had been hired.  The economist and the consumer in me are happy about that: The economist understands that this reallocation of labor resources means a gain in efficiency, which leads to lower prices and provides local households with leftover income to spend on other things, creating a demand for labor there.  Reports indicate the new chain is planning to staff the store more heavily than the previous owners did, perhaps because of their lower labor costs per worker.

The consumer in me, being part of one of those local households, is happy to see the lower prices.

As a member of the community, however, I worry whether my friends and neighbors who lost their jobs will find new ones and at what wages and benefits.  But although real, my worry about the short-run effects on specific people is outweighed — when I again put on the economist hat — by my realization that the community will gain from the better, cheaper store and the jobs it will bring.

The hard part is that the gains from the new store are smaller per person, more dispersed, more abstract, and more long-run than the costs.  That makes them less salient on an emotional level, even though those who can put on the economist’s hat are able to see that those benefits outweigh the losses.

The even harder part is looking into the eyes of my friends and neighbors who have lost jobs and telling them that it’s really a good thing.  I believe that’s the case, but it points to one of the biggest challenges facing friends of freedom: persuading those who bear the short-run costs of economic change that it really does benefit everyone in the long run.  Seeing the “unseen” helps, but it requires careful juggling of the three hats to convince those who bear the costs that freedom is superior to having government intervene to soften the blow.

There Are 6 Responses So Far. »

  1. One of your hats does not fit precisely. In the aggregate over the long run, sure, things may get better. And, over time, if things get better, that will benefit all the remaining individuals that make up the aggregate over the long run. But, right now, for the individuals affected, things are terrible, and their individual lives are in turmoil. In the short run, for the aggregate, things are worse than they were. Since the future is unknown to any of us, you can not say to these individuals that things will improve. Certainly they may; and ultimately, they may be better off; but they may not. Their individual tragedies are immediate and known. The future is not. Part of the costs of being a community, in the aggregate over the long run, is softening the blows to its individual members in the short run. You never know if or when you may need that support yourself.

  2. “A recession is when your neighbor loses his job, a depression is when you lose yours.” Ronald Reagan

  3. Notice that I did not argue against *the community* attempting to soften the blow; I argued against government doing it. What I had in mind was bailing out bankrupt firms etc.. I’m all in favor of communities coming together to help those in need through the various institutions of civil society (e.g., houses of worship, ethnic groups, fundraisers, etc.)

    I should note that in the time between writing that piece and it appearing this morning, I found out that two other former employees (deli counter folks, no less) of the old store have found new jobs doing the same work at the Wal-Mart supercenter up the road, where they are quite happy, even being non-unionized. ;)

  4. @Samuel Clemens: It’s unnecessary to look to the unknown future for the benefits of the change. The lower grocery prices paid by the rest of the individuals in the area (including its ex-employees, perhaps) and the increased profits by its new owners are immediate. The sum is the (tangible) loss of the ex-employees. Second, third, and n-th order effects, likewise.

    It’s always easier to see costs/benefits when they’re concentrated, and harder to see them when they’re distributed. And it’s important to keep in mind that negative effects here aren’t a commentary about the character of those who suffer them.

    Which is why I couldn’t agree with you more: *voluntary* compassion and aid to those who suffer such concentrated loss is an important and worth pursuit for each of us. Especially because we may one day, as you said, rely on that compassion from others.

  5. I’d rather the unknown future of a free system than presumed future promised by a managed system.
    A community of free individuals can be creative to come to the aid of those among them and will be likely of more value to those in need.

  6. [...] The Three Hats of the Economist | The Freeman | Ideas On Liberty (tags: economics community employment change dynamic grocery)   [...]

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