Comments on: Black Swans, Butterflies, and the Economy http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/ Ideas on Liberty Wed, 15 Feb 2012 01:57:20 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3 By: Telecharger skype http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-57180 Telecharger skype Mon, 06 Feb 2012 17:35:16 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-57180 Why didnt I think about this? I hear exactly what youre saying and Im so happy that I came across your blog. You really know what youre talking about, and you made me feel like I should learn more about this. Thanks for this; Im officially a huge fan of your blog Why didnt I think about this? I hear exactly what youre saying and Im so happy that I came across your blog. You really know what youre talking about, and you made me feel like I should learn more about this. Thanks for this; Im officially a huge fan of your blog

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]]> By: Leah http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-43812 Leah Mon, 13 Jun 2011 17:00:14 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-43812 This post is very usefull thx! This post is very usefull thx!

]]> By: charles http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-36267 charles Thu, 09 Dec 2010 18:46:45 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-36267 Now and then you hear not opinions, not positions (either supported, or as often the case in these articles, unsupported), not policy prescriptions, not even knowledge, but rather...an observation based on wide-eye wisdom. This article is a case in point. The importance of such wisdom is that it provides perspective required to analyze knowledge, positions, prescriptions. Well, to follow on Craig Wright's careful and also-wise correction listed in the comments here, I will be more careful in saying that maybe 95% of the article is wise. The other 5% is conjecture subject to uncertainty because it is actually unknown. Nobody's perfect :) Now and then you hear not opinions, not positions (either supported, or as often the case in these articles, unsupported), not policy prescriptions, not even knowledge, but rather…an observation based on wide-eye wisdom. This article is a case in point. The importance of such wisdom is that it provides perspective required to analyze knowledge, positions, prescriptions.

Well, to follow on Craig Wright’s careful and also-wise correction listed in the comments here, I will be more careful in saying that maybe 95% of the article is wise. The other 5% is conjecture subject to uncertainty because it is actually unknown. Nobody’s perfect :)

]]> By: Rower http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-33202 Rower Sun, 19 Sep 2010 15:13:47 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-33202 Child labor and poverty are inevitably likely together and if you endure to exercise the labor of children as the treatment on the social complaint of want, you purpose have both destitution and descendant labor to the supersede of time. Child labor and poverty are inevitably likely together and if you endure to exercise the labor of children as the treatment on the social complaint of want, you purpose have both destitution and descendant labor to the supersede of time.

]]> By: Jacob Boulogne http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-30483 Jacob Boulogne Tue, 27 Jul 2010 20:05:43 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-30483 I enjoyed the origianal article, as well as the debate it generated. I am a moral philospher and in my latest and sixt book "Just Government An Impossible Dream?" I show, using careful logic, that a just government is indeed possible, and that the idea of a "good" government must accept a certain amount of injustice is an idea we can dump safely. I sent the Freeman a copy, which has not been acknowledged, and I am still hoping to have it reviewed, but I may be in conflict with established libertarian biasis. Government as a binding contract amongst citizens is indeed a sound justification for collective government. No other concept is. In my book I suggest many possible reforms but the main two are (a)Public education--paid by taxes-is indeed unjust and should be dumped, by the simple rule that if your children are in a public system taxes make sense, but if they are not you may not be taxed for the education of other people,s offspring. What I promote I call "the ten percent solution" a constitutial amendment the limits the total sum of governments, feds and lower, to 10% which must include printed cash. Feds get 5%, states get 2%, cities 3%. This will cut the politicians off at the knees as they should be. More difficult is getting civil servants de-unionized. I am very anxious to get feedback on this proposal, which, if put to referendum, has a good chance to meet with public support. Just government, amongst 15 different different definitions "does only those things all desire. I enjoyed the origianal article, as well as the debate it generated. I am a moral philospher and in my latest and sixt book “Just Government An Impossible Dream?” I show, using careful logic, that a just government is indeed possible, and that the idea of a “good” government must accept a certain amount of injustice is an idea we can dump safely. I sent the Freeman a copy, which has not been acknowledged, and I am still hoping to have it reviewed, but I may be in conflict with established libertarian biasis. Government as a binding contract amongst citizens is indeed a sound justification for collective government. No other concept is. In my book I suggest many possible reforms but the main two are (a)Public education–paid by taxes-is indeed unjust and should be dumped, by the simple rule that if your children are in a public system taxes make sense, but if they are not you may not be taxed for the education of other people,s offspring. What I promote I call “the ten percent solution” a constitutial amendment the limits the total sum of governments, feds and lower, to 10% which must include printed cash. Feds get 5%, states get 2%, cities 3%. This will cut the politicians off at the knees as they should be. More difficult is getting civil servants de-unionized. I am very anxious to get feedback on this proposal, which, if put to referendum, has a good chance to meet with public support. Just government, amongst 15 different different definitions “does only those things all desire.

]]> By: Craig Wright http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-28657 Craig Wright Wed, 30 Jun 2010 21:27:58 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-28657 The problem here is not induction, but a misapplication of the same. The following quote can not be validly induced: "Every swan I’ve ever seen has been white, therefore all swans are white" It should be something such as: "Every swan I’ve ever seen in the limited location I have visited has been white, therefore it is highly probable that all swans in the give locations are white and I can state this with 95% certainty". The former statement is logically unsound. It is not inductive. The later still allows for risk. A poor comprehension of inductive processes and meaning does not make these logically valid. The problem here is not induction, but a misapplication of the same. The following quote can not be validly induced:

“Every swan I’ve ever seen has been white, therefore all swans are white”

It should be something such as:

“Every swan I’ve ever seen in the limited location I have visited has been white, therefore it is highly probable that all swans in the give locations are white and I can state this with 95% certainty”.

The former statement is logically unsound. It is not inductive. The later still allows for risk.

A poor comprehension of inductive processes and meaning does not make these logically valid.

]]> By: dumbbells http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-27999 dumbbells Wed, 16 Jun 2010 08:47:08 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-27999 A gink begins icy his discernment teeth the earliest often he bites eccentric more than he can chew. A gink begins icy his discernment teeth the earliest often he bites eccentric more than he can chew.

]]> By: Flash http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-27707 Flash Tue, 08 Jun 2010 15:21:27 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-27707 But from time to time I arrange come to believe that the all in all community is an riddle, a innocuous enigma that is made terrible on our own mad as a march hare effort to interpret it as allowing it had an underlying truth. But from time to time I arrange come to believe that the all in all community is an riddle, a innocuous enigma that is made terrible on our own mad as a march hare effort to interpret it as allowing it had an underlying truth.

]]> By: Asus http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/black-swans-butterflies-and-the-economy/comment-page-2/#comment-23739 Asus Wed, 31 Mar 2010 14:00:36 +0000 http://www.thefreemanonline.org/?p=8674#comment-23739 This is one of the pernicious effects of affirmative action. In our PC/affirmative effectiveness culture, we verge to discern the achievements and promotions of minorities as a consequence of affirmative effectiveness policies preferably of individual diligence and talent. This undermines these vastly achievements. Another ungovernable here is that it sets altruist morality at odds with the higher splendid morality. If the higher fairness is contemporary to conclude the Extermination, fatal infection outbreaks, etc, as good, while benignant moralness whim adjudicator them immoral, then the 'righteous' in each of these moralities are different. Satisfactory on the higher morality is not what we with the help nearby good. This is one of the pernicious effects of affirmative action. In our PC/affirmative effectiveness culture, we verge to discern the achievements and promotions of minorities as a consequence of affirmative effectiveness policies preferably of individual diligence and talent. This undermines these vastly achievements.
Another ungovernable here is that it sets altruist morality at odds with the higher splendid morality. If the higher fairness is contemporary to conclude the Extermination, fatal infection outbreaks, etc, as good, while benignant moralness whim adjudicator them immoral, then the ‘righteous’ in each of these moralities are different. Satisfactory on the higher morality is not what we with the help nearby good.

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