Profits and Jobs
From Barron’s, January 20, 1958. Robert M. Bleiberg, Editor.
Of all the elements which go to make up the system of private enterprise, the one which enjoys perhaps the least understanding—or approval—is profits. Indeed in the
The amazing persistence of such fallacies in the national thinking has been underscored again of late. Thus, with an obvious eye toward future bargaining sessions, George Meany, president of the AFL-CIO, recently charged that the Department of Commerce, in its official reports, was understating the true magnitude of business earnings. Similiarly, in unveiling his 1958-model demands, Walter Reuther, head of the United Auto Workers, called upon the auto industry to share most of its profits with employees and customers. Finally, in forecasting a balanced budget for the coming fiscal year, the Administration, in effect, has chosen to ignore the deepening recession and its probable impact on corporate accounts. Whatever their differences, the foregoing episodes have one thing in common: a striking inability or unwillingness to face the facts of economic life. One is that profits can go down as well as up. In a free society, profits also happen to be the moving force behind business activity. In the
Shrinking Profits
To those who grasp the connection between investment and employment, the current trend of earning is disquieting. For the figures reveal that profits have been shrinking steadily for more than a year. According to the Department of Commerce, net income of all
The government data, to be sure, have not gone unchallenged. In particular, Mr. Meany, speaking for the AFL-CIO, has attacked the estimates of the Department of Commerce. In the main, he faults them for failing to take into account the increased deductions which industry, in writing off plant facilities, now is permitted to make. If such sums are added to reported earnings, he argues, the so-called squeeze on profits quickly disappears.
It is perfectly true that under the former methods of depreciation, current profits would compare more favorably with those of earlier years. However, that is not the point. Whether by the old yardstick or the new, earnings during the past 12 months (the period in question) unmistakably have dwindled. As to the longer pull, Mr. Meany is equally wrong. For owing to postwar inflation, the cost of replacing an asset has exceeded by a country mile that of building it originally. Until the recent fiscal reforms (to which labor now objects so strenuously), corporations were compelled to report wholly inadequate allowances for depreciation. In short, for a decade or more business has overstated, not understated, its profits.
Labor Demands More
Here is a formidable misconception indeed. However, in this realm George Meany is matched, if not surpassed, by his vice-president and possible successor, Walter Reuther. In advance of the forthcoming wage negotiations with the auto industry, the U. A. W. head disclosed his intention of seeking a massive profit-sharing plan. Under this scheme — which even the union admits is an "unusual approach to collective bargaining" — motordom would be entitled to a net return of 4.8 per cent on its invested capital. Anything above that amount would be deemed an "excess" profit, of which one-fourth would be paid as a bonus to the workers (with an equal share going as a rebate to the car-buying public).
To the Ruination of All
The proposal may be criticized on many grounds, not least that it would give the union a powerful voice in what is properly the concern of stockholders and management. But perhaps its worst — and most revealing — feature is the formula which would grant industrial concerns, subject as they are to whims of the market place, a return lower than 6 per cent or more currently enjoyed by regulated public utilities. Such terms would be ruinous, not merely to capital, which must look for rewards commensurate to the risks, but also, in the end, to all those seeking jobs which only the investment of capital can provide. The vital link between the two once was recognized by the Executive Council of the A.F.L., which nearly twenty years ago went on record as saying: "We have learned the lesson that when opportunities for profits diminish, opportunities for jobs likewise disappear." Today, however, labor apparently has chosen to ignore this simple truth.
Nor is labor alone in such folly. The same may be said of all those who, at the first sign of recession, would have the government launch upon a massive program of pump-priming. Contrary to the views held by some, inflation is the mortal enemy of economic progress. For it tends to cover up inefficiency and waste; to reward the speculator rather than the producer; and, not least, to encourage excessive wage demands. Sooner or later, under the mounting burden of costs, profits — as well as trade and employment — inevitably suffer. This is what has happened to the
NOTE: Turn again to F. A. Harper’s "On Sharing Profits" (THE FREEMAN, January 1958) for further study of the implications of the UAW proposal.










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