How U.S. Economic Warfare Provoked Japan’s Attack on Pearl Harbor
The Orthodox View of Pearl Harbor Is a Tissue of Misconceptions
Ask a typical American how the United States got into World War II, and he will almost certainly tell you that the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor and the Americans fought back. Ask him why the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor, and he will probably need some time to gather his thoughts. He might say that the Japanese were aggressive militarists who wanted to take over the world, or at least the Asia-Pacific part of it. Ask him what the United States did to provoke the Japanese, and he will probably say that the Americans did nothing: we were just minding our own business when the crazy Japanese, completely without justification, mounted a sneak attack on us, catching us totally by surprise in Hawaii on December 7, 1941.
You can’t blame him much. For more than 60 years such beliefs have constituted the generally accepted view among Americans, the one taught in schools and depicted in movies—what “every schoolboy knows.” Unfortunately, this orthodox view is a tissue of misconceptions. Don’t bother to ask the typical American what U.S. economic warfare had to do with provoking the Japanese to mount their attack, because he won’t know. Indeed, he will have no idea what you are talking about.
In the late nineteenth century, Japan’s economy began to grow and to industrialize rapidly. Because Japan has few natural resources, many of the burgeoning industries had to rely on imported raw materials, such as coal, iron ore or steel scrap, tin, copper, bauxite, rubber, and petroleum. Without access to such imports, many of which came from the United States or from European colonies in southeast Asia, Japan’s industrial economy would have ground to a halt. By engaging in international trade, however, the Japanese had built a moderately advanced industrial economy by 1941.
At the same time, they also built a military-industrial complex to support an increasingly powerful army and navy. These armed forces allowed Japan to project its power into various places in the Pacific and east Asia, including Korea and northern China, much as the United States used its growing industrial might to equip armed forces that projected U.S. power into the Caribbean and Latin America, and even as far away as the Philippine Islands.
When Franklin D. Roosevelt became president in 1933, the U.S. government fell under the control of a man who disliked the Japanese and harbored a romantic affection for the Chinese because, some writers have speculated, Roosevelt’s ancestors had made money in the China trade.1 Roosevelt also disliked the Germans (and of course Adolf Hitler), and he tended to favor the British in his personal relations and in world affairs. He did not pay much attention to foreign policy, however, until his New Deal began to peter out in 1937. Afterward, he relied heavily on foreign policy to fulfill his political ambitions, including his desire for reelection to an unprecedented third term.
When Germany began to rearm and to seek Lebensraum aggressively in the late 1930s, the Roosevelt administration cooperated closely with the British and the French in measures to oppose German expansion. After World War II commenced in 1939, this U.S. assistance grew ever greater and included such measures as the so-called destroyer deal and the deceptively named Lend-Lease program. In anticipation of U.S. entry into the war, British and U.S. military staffs secretly formulated plans for joint operations. U.S. forces sought to create a war-justifying incident by cooperating with the British navy in attacks on German U-boats in the north Atlantic, but Hitler refused to take the bait, thus denying Roosevelt the pretext he craved for making the United States a full-fledged, declared belligerent—an end that the great majority of Americans opposed.
In June 1940, Henry L. Stimson, who had been secretary of war under Taft and secretary of state under Hoover, became secretary of war again. Stimson was a lion of the Anglophile, northeastern upper crust and no friend of the Japanese. In support of the so-called Open Door Policy for China, Stimson favored the use of economic sanctions to obstruct Japan’s advance in Asia. Treasury Secretary Henry Morgenthau and Interior Secretary Harold Ickes vigorously endorsed this policy. Roosevelt hoped that such sanctions would goad the Japanese into making a rash mistake by launching a war against the United States, which would bring in Germany because Japan and Germany were allied.
Accordingly, the Roosevelt administration, while curtly dismissing Japanese diplomatic overtures to harmonize relations, imposed a series of increasingly stringent economic sanctions on Japan. In 1939 the United States terminated the 1911 commercial treaty with Japan. “On July 2, 1940, Roosevelt signed the Export Control Act, authorizing the President to license or prohibit the export of essential defense materials.” Under this authority, “[o]n July 31, exports of aviation motor fuels and lubricants and No. 1 heavy melting iron and steel scrap were restricted.” Next, in a move aimed at Japan, Roosevelt slapped an embargo, effective October 16, “on all exports of scrap iron and steel to destinations other than Britain and the nations of the Western Hemisphere.” Finally, on July 26, 1941, Roosevelt “froze Japanese assets in the United States, thus bringing commercial relations between the nations to an effective end. One week later Roosevelt embargoed the export of such grades of oil as still were in commercial flow to Japan.2” The British and the Dutch followed suit, embargoing exports to Japan from their colonies in southeast Asia.
An Untenable Position
Roosevelt and his subordinates knew they were putting Japan in an untenable position and that the Japanese government might well try to escape the stranglehold by going to war. Having broken the Japanese diplomatic code, the Americans knew, among many other things, what Foreign Minister Teijiro Toyoda had communicated to Ambassador Kichisaburo Nomura on July 31: “Commercial and economic relations between Japan and third countries, led by England and the United States, are gradually becoming so horribly strained that we cannot endure it much longer. Consequently, our Empire, to save its very life, must take measures to secure the raw materials of the South Seas.”3
Because American cryptographers had also broken the Japanese naval code, the leaders in Washington knew as well that Japan’s “measures” would include an attack on Pearl Harbor.4 Yet they withheld this critical information from the commanders in Hawaii, who might have headed off the attack or prepared themselves to defend against it. That Roosevelt and his chieftains did not ring the tocsin makes perfect sense: after all, the impending attack constituted precisely what they had been seeking for a long time. As Stimson confided to his diary after a meeting of the war cabinet on November 25, “The question was how we should maneuver them [the Japanese] into firing the first shot without allowing too much danger to ourselves.”5 After the attack, Stimson confessed that “my first feeling was of relief … that a crisis had come in a way which would unite all our people.6
Notes
- Harry Elmer Barnes, “Summary and Conclusions,” in Perpetual War for Perpetual Peace:A Critical Examination of the Foreign Policy of Franklin Delano Roosevelt and Its Aftermath (Caldwell, Id.: Caxton Printers, 1953), pp. 682–83.
- All quotations in this paragraph from George Morgenstern, “The Actual Road to Pearl Harbor,” in Perpetual War for Perpetual Peace, pp. 322–23, 327–28.
- Quoted ibid., p. 329.
- Robert B. Stinnett, Day of Deceit: The Truth about FDR and Pearl Harbor (NewYork: Free Press, 2000).
- Stimson quoted in Morgenstern, p. 343.
- Stimson quoted ibid., p. 384.










Pingback by When was the last “just war”? | Christine Smith's Blog on 2 May 2010:
[...] this is by Robert Higgs and published in the May 2006 issue of The Freeman magazine, “How U.S. Economic Warfare Provoked Japan’s Attack on Pearl Harbor.“ I recommend everyone read that informative piece, and for further research any number of [...]
Pingback by Wars Bump in the Road is American Gullibility « Horatio's Perspective on 23 February 2011:
[...] Robert Higgs, How U.S. Economic Warfare Provoked Japan’s Attack on Pearl Harbor, [...]
Comment by Raindog on 18 March 2011:
I was born in 1948…and find it almost unbelievable that this is what precipated Japans assault on Pearl Harbor. That Roosevlt and his administration could have let the military in Hawaii know of an impending & expected attack is an abomination and should be made known NOW…and inserted into our History education…NOW
Comment by Gman on 7 December 2011:
The fact that most Americans embrace the idea of “American Exceptionalism” – i.e. that America is always right and always has good intentions and outcomes – blinds them to the truth of history. Not only do we see it here with Higgs’ article, but we see it with the history of the Great Depression and the quasi-messianic view of FDR as a political, economic, and military savior. I appreciate the fact that thinkers like Higgs and Burton Folsom (read his “New Deal or Raw Deal”) are willing to stick their necks out for the truth. What other historic truths are we blinded to because of “America can do no wrong” propaganda???
Comment by Aggie on 7 December 2011:
While I agree that we tended to believe that we are always right and always have good intentions and outcomes, and that we are sometimes blind to the truth of history – I do not agree that the U.S. had intentionally provoked Japan into war. Economic sanctions were put into place because Japan violated a treaty regarding the size of the navy and types of ships that were to be built. Also, the atrocities committed by the Japanese in China were atrocious to say the least (I am not sure this was known at the time). I do agree that people tend to have a quasi-messianic view of FDR and are incorrect. I also do not doubt that there may have been some prejudice against the Japanese.
I do think FDR wanted to enter the war. However, to imply that he was willing to allow thousands of U.S. servicemen to die at Pearl Harbor in order to enter the war is un-thinkable. Japan declared war on the U.S. that very morning (in Washington)and because of a mis-hap in the decoding of their coded messages and in delivery of this message (was not marked urgent) to Hawaii, it arrived after the attack. It gave no time for Pearl Harbor to properly defend itself. There are opinions on both sides of this argument and ALL facts must be considered before making such strong opinions.
Pingback by WWII - Pearltrees on 7 December 2011:
[...] When Franklin D. Roosevelt became president in 1933, the U.S. government fell under the control of a man who disliked the Japanese and harbored a romantic affection for the Chinese because, some writers have speculated, Roosevelt’s ancestors had made money in the China trade. 1 Roosevelt also disliked the Germans (and of course Adolf Hitler), and he tended to favor the British in his personal relations and in world affairs. He did not pay much attention to foreign policy, however, until his New Deal began to peter out in 1937. Afterward, he relied heavily on foreign policy to fulfill his political ambitions, including his desire for reelection to an unprecedented third term. When Germany began to rearm and to seek Lebensraum aggressively in the late 1930s, the Roosevelt administration cooperated closely with the British and the French in measures to oppose German expansion. How U.S. Economic Warfare Provoked Japan’s Attack on Pearl Harbor | The Freeman | Ideas On Liberty [...]
Comment by RobertELegal on 7 December 2011:
I recommend reading “The New Dealer’s War” by Thomas Fleming. It provides a detailed look echoing the sentiments presented in this article.
Comment by beasn on 7 December 2011:
“American Exceptionalism” – i.e. that America is always right and always has good intentions and outcomes
THAT is not what American Exceptionalism means.
Comment by Jake on 8 December 2011:
This article is a rather mundane review of a history to which many books have been devoted. It adds nothing new until the author makes the extraordinary claim that Roosevelt knew of the coming attack on Pearl Harbor and intentionally failed to warn the military commanders. That is poppycock. If he has evidence for this statement he should publish it.
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