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Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973) was a long-time adviser to FEE and the author of Human Action along with many other pathbreaking books in Austrian economics, history, and social philosophy. ... See All Posts by This Author

Ludwig von Mises

Inflation

A general rise in prices can only occur if there is either a drop in the supply of all commodities or an increase in the supply of money. If one wants to know whether or not there is credit expansion, one must look at the supply of fiduciary media, not at the arithmetical state of interest rates.

The notions of inflation and deflation are not praxeological concepts. They were not created by economists, but by the mundane speech of the public and of politicians. They implied the popular fallacy that there is such a thing as neutral money or money of stable purchasing power.

However, those applying these terms are not aware of the fact that purchasing power never remains unchanged and that consequently there is always either inflation or deflation.

What many people today call inflation or deflation is no longer the great increase or decrease in the supply of money, but its inexorable consequences, the general tendency toward a rise or fall in commodity prices and wage rates. This innovation is by no means harmless.

Those engaged in futile and hopeless attempts to fight the inevitable consequences of inflation—the rise in prices—are disguising their endeavors as a fight against inflation. While merely fighting symptoms, they pretend to fight the root causes of the evil. Because they do not com prehend the causal relation between the increase in the quantity of money on the one hand and the rise in prices on the other, they make things worse.

The course of a progressing inflation is this: At the beginning the inflow of additional money makes the prices of some commodities and services rise; other prices rise later. The price rise affects the various commodities and services at different dates and to a different extent.

The first stage of the inflationary process may last for many years. While it lasts, the prices of many goods and services are not yet adjusted to the altered money relation. There are still people in the country who have not yet become aware of the fact that they are confronted with a price revolution which will finally result in a considerable rise of all prices, although the extent of this rise will not be the same in the various commodities and services. These people still believe that prices one day will drop. Waiting for this day, they restrict their purchases and concomitantly increase their cash holdings. As long as such ideas are still held by public opinion, it is not yet too late for the government to abandon its inflationary policy.

But then finally the masses wake up. They become suddenly aware that inflation is a deliberate policy and will go on endlessly. A breakdown occurs. Everybody is anxious to swap his money against “real” goods, no matter whether he needs them or not, no matter how much money he has to pay for them. Within a very short time, within a few weeks or even days, the things which were used as money are no longer used as media of exchange. They become scrap paper. Nobody wants to give away anything against them.

It was this that happened with the Continental currency in America in 1781, with the French mandats ter-ritoriaux in 1796 and with the German Mark in 1923. It will happen again whenever the same conditions appear. Inflation is a policy that cannot last. The monetary system breaks down; all transactions in money cease. People return either to barter or to use of another kind of money.

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